Belghazi S. (2013). Scenarios for the agricultural sector in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean. Bruxelles (Belgique) : CEPS. 37 p. (MedPro Report, n. 4).
https://www.ceps.eu/ceps-publications/scenarios-agricultural-sector-southern-and-eastern-mediterranean/
https://www.ceps.eu/ceps-publications/scenarios-agricultural-sector-southern-and-eastern-mediterranean/
Titre : | Scenarios for the agricultural sector in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean |
Auteurs : | S. Belghazi |
Type de document : | Rapport, Expertise, Working Paper |
Editeur : | Bruxelles [Belgique] : CEPS, 2013 |
Collection : | MedPro Report, num. 4 |
Format : | 37 p. |
Langues : | Anglais |
Langues du résumé : | Anglais |
Catégories : |
Catégories principales 06 - AGRICULTURE. FORÊTS. PÊCHES ; 6.1 - Généralités. Situation AgricoleThésaurus IAMM AGRICULTURE ; DEVELOPPEMENT AGRICOLE ; PROSPECTIVE ; REGION MEDITERRANEENNE ; PAYS TIERS MEDITERRANEENS ; ALGERIE ; EGYPTE ; ISRAEL ; JORDANIE ; LIBAN ; JAMAHIRIYA ARABE LIBYENNE ; MAROC ; PALESTINE ; SYRIE ; TUNISIE ; TURQUIE ; SECTEUR AGRICOLE ; SITUATION AGRICOLE ; CONSOMMATION ; PRODUCTION ; COMMERCE AGRICOLE ; UNION EUROPEENNE ; PARTENARIAT EUROMEDITERRANEEN ; POLITIQUE DU COMMERCE INTERNATIONAL ; PRODUCTIVITE ; EMPLOI ; CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE |
Résumé : | The paper builds predictive scenarios for the agricultural sector of eleven southern and eastern Mediterranean countries (SEMCs), namely Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Palestine, Syria, Tunisia and Turkey. First, it assesses the performance trends of the SEMCs agricultural sector, with a focus on production, consumption and trade patterns, incentives, trade protection policies and trade relations with the EU, productivity dynamics and their determinants. Second, it presents four scenarios based on the main value chains of the SEMCs agriculture sector: animal products, fruit and vegetables, sugar and edible oils, cereals, fish and other sea products. The four scenarios are: business as usual, Mediterranean one global player, the EU-Mediterranean area under threat and the EU and SEMCs as regional players on the global stage. |
Note de contenu : |
1. Introduction
2. Assessing Economic Trends in the SEMCs Agricultural Sector Growth performance of the agricultural sector Demand patterns, food security and SEMCs comparative advantage Agro-industry, agricultural trade deficits and SEMCs comparative advantages External trade 3. Agricultural Policies: Public Support, Trade Protection and Export Agreements Long-term trends in agricultural policies Foreign trade protection and subsidies to the agricultural sector : Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Morocco, Tunisia, Turkey The recent bilateral agricultural trade negotiations of the EU with SEMCs 4. Productivity Growth and Employment in the Context of Climate Change Productivity trends per agricultural worker Productivity growth determinants: land, water and capital Social factors: demography, poverty and rural employment 5. Scenarios for Agriculture in the SEMCs-9 The drivers of SEMCs agricultural structural change The rationale behind the scenarios The scenario results 6. Concluding remarks |
Cote : | En ligne |
URL / DOI : | https://www.ceps.eu/ceps-publications/scenarios-agricultural-sector-southern-and-eastern-mediterranean/ |