Leal Filho W., Stojanov R., Matsoukas C., Ingrosso R., Franke J.A., Pausata F.S.R., Grassi T., Landa J., Harrouni C. (2024). An assessment of climate change impacts on oases in northern Africa. Ecological Indicators, 01/09/2024, vol. 166, p. 112287.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112287
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112287
Titre : | An assessment of climate change impacts on oases in northern Africa (2024) |
Auteurs : | W. Leal Filho ; R. Stojanov ; C. Matsoukas ; R. Ingrosso ; J.A. Franke ; F.S.R. Pausata ; T. Grassi ; J. Landa ; C. Harrouni |
Type de document : | Article |
Dans : | Ecological Indicators (vol. 166, September 2024) |
Article en page(s) : | p. 112287 |
Langues : | Anglais |
Langues du résumé : | Anglais |
Catégories : |
Catégories principales 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT ; 7.6 - Changement ClimatiqueThésaurus IAMM CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE ; EVALUATION DE L'IMPACT ; OASIS ; AFRIQUE DU NORD |
Résumé : | Oases are vulnerable ecosystems that are affected by climate change. Using high-resolution climate models focusing on northern Africa, we investigate the changes in the agrosystems of oases. Projected air temperature changes under an extreme global warming scenario are statistically significant for all oases studied, with an increase of up to 4-4.5 °C by the end of the century. The impact of the projected warming is likely to lead to an increased groundwater demand, with a parallel trend in reduced precipitation. Combined, these processes endanger the long-term socio-economic prospect of oases. |
Cote : | En ligne |
URL / DOI : | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112287 |