| Titre : | Climate change impact assessment on agriculture (2024) |
| Auteurs : | R. Balaghi ; H. Benaouda ; H. Mahyou ; W. Snaibi |
| Type de document : | Article |
| Dans : | African and Mediterranean Agricultural Journal - Al Awamia (n. 143, April 2024) |
| Article en page(s) : | p. 9-33 |
| Langues : | Anglais |
| Langues du résumé : | Anglais |
| Catégories : |
Catégories principales 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT ; 7.6 - Changement ClimatiqueThésaurus IAMM CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE ; AGRICULTURE ; EVALUATION DE L'IMPACT ; MAROC |
| Résumé : |
This document provides a comprehensive review of climate change impact studies on Moroccan agriculture, conducted by the National Institute of Agricultural Research (INRA). The studies reveal that climate change poses significant challenges to the agricultural sector, with projections indicating declining rainfall, rising temperatures, and increasing drought frequency throughout the 21st century.
KEY FINDINGS: 1. Rainfall has decreased by approximately 25% since 1980, while temperatures have increased, leading to a higher probability of drought occurrence. 2. Climate projections based on IPCC scenarios suggest that by the end of the century, temperatures will continue to rise, and precipitation will decrease, resulting in a shorter cereal growing period and reduced yields. 3. Land suitability for cereal cultivation is expected to decline, particularly in the Atlantic plains, with a shift towards the north and mountainous regions. 4. The impact studies highlight the vulnerability of Moroccan agriculture to climate change and the urgent need for adaptation measures. IMPLICATIONS: 1. Policy: The findings emphasize the need for policymakers to prioritize the development and implementation of comprehensive adaptation strategies, allocate resources for research and development, provide incentives for farmers to adopt sustainable practices, and foster collaboration among stakeholders. 2. Practice: Farmers and agricultural extension services must adapt their practices to cope with the changing climate by adopting drought-resistant crop varieties, implementing water-saving irrigation techniques, embracing conservation agriculture practices, and diversifying crop portfolios. 3. Research: Future research should focus on conducting site-specific impact assessments, developing adapted crop varieties and management practices, exploring innovative technologies, investigating socio-economic dimensions of adaptation, and assessing the effectiveness of adaptation strategies. RECOMMENDATIONS: 1. Prioritize the development and dissemination of drought-resistant crop varieties and water-efficient irrigation technologies. 2. Promote the widespread adoption of conservation agriculture practices. 3. Strengthen the capacity of agricultural extension services to provide farmers with knowledge and resources for implementing climate-smart practices. 4. Invest in the expansion and improvement of early warning systems and climate information services. 5. Conduct further research on the socio-economic dimensions of climate change adaptation in Moroccan agriculture. 6. Develop and implement monitoring and evaluation frameworks to assess the effectiveness and scalability of adaptation strategies. Morocco has the potential to become a leader in developing and implementing effective adaptation strategies that can be replicated in similar geographic regions across Africa and the Mediterranean. By leveraging its expertise in climate change impact assessment and adaptation in the agricultural sector, Morocco can contribute to global efforts to address the challenges posed by climate change and promote sustainable agricultural development for future generations. |
| Cote : | En ligne |
| URL / DOI : | https://doi.org/10.34874/IMIST.PRSM/afrimed-i143.48154 |
Accueil
Sélection de la langue
Adresse
ÉQUIPE
Nous contacter
Informations pratiques
contact
