Defrancesco E., Rossetto L. (2000). Il mercato alla produzione della carne cunicola. Un'analisi intepretativa e previsionale dei prezzi. Medit, 01/12/2000, n. 4, p. 39-48.
https://newmedit.iamb.it/edizioni_new_medit,229,229,2000,123,652,il-mercato-alla-produzione-della-carne-cunicola-unanalisi-interpretativa-e-previsionale-dei-prezzi.htm
https://newmedit.iamb.it/edizioni_new_medit,229,229,2000,123,652,il-mercato-alla-produzione-della-carne-cunicola-unanalisi-interpretativa-e-previsionale-dei-prezzi.htm
Titre : | Il mercato alla produzione della carne cunicola. Un'analisi intepretativa e previsionale dei prezzi (2000) |
Titre original: | The market of rabbit meat production |
Auteurs : | E. Defrancesco ; L. Rossetto |
Type de document : | Article |
Dans : | Medit (n. 4, 2000/12) |
Article en page(s) : | p. 39-48 |
Langues : | Italien |
Langues du résumé : | Anglais ; Français |
Catégories : |
Thésaurus IAMM VIANDE DE LAPIN ; PRIX A LA PRODUCTION ; OFFRE ET DEMANDE ; ANALYSE DE SERIES CHRONOLOGIQUES |
Résumé : | The rabbit meat production price is really stable in the long run trend, while it shows a great variability in the short period. From the demand side, per capita consumption is strongly seasonal, showing peaks in winter and Easter. From the supply side, prices are affected by both the production-cycle length and the other meat market shocks. As a consequence, cyclical effects on prices may be a source of price instability, mainly affecting expected seasonality, with relevant income-effects on producers. The monthly price series, covering the 1990-99 period, has been analysed by a RegARIMA model-based approach for forecasting purposes, taking into account the Eastern effect as a moving-holiday and the Bse factor affecting the rabbit price. The forecasting efficiency of the model has been successfully tested on both statistical and economic aspects. The series has been decomposed into its unobservable components and seasonally adjusted performing a forecast analysis in them |
Cote : | Demander à l'accueil |
URL / DOI : | https://newmedit.iamb.it/edizioni_new_medit,229,229,2000,123,652,il-mercato-alla-produzione-della-carne-cunicola-unanalisi-interpretativa-e-previsionale-dei-prezzi.htm |